Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.012844 0.015711 0.019348 0.024418 0.031498 0.041365 0.056803
2025-02-16 0.009353 0.012507 0.017070 0.024536 0.037313 0.060330 0.111418
2025-02-23 0.007545 0.010650 0.015533 0.024436 0.042124 0.081509 0.204689
2025-03-02 0.006221 0.009094 0.013868 0.023249 0.044060 0.099076 0.337872
2025-03-09 0.005379 0.008095 0.012820 0.022732 0.047060 0.123354 0.611753
2025-03-16 0.004867 0.007532 0.012383 0.023254 0.052963 0.166596 1.450953
2025-03-23 0.004414 0.006985 0.011838 0.023332 0.057841 0.217600 4.022524
2025-03-30 0.003941 0.006327 0.010941 0.022279 0.058632 0.253049 10.601944
2025-04-06 0.003592 0.005851 0.010324 0.021741 0.060974 0.308207 58.862301
2025-04-13 0.003387 0.005618 0.010172 0.022380 0.068436 0.438711 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003282 0.005561 0.010390 0.024140 0.082717 0.761935 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003161 0.005456 0.010476 0.025566 0.097689 1.366267 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002934 0.005137 0.010073 0.025556 0.106939 2.281192 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002738 0.004861 0.009738 0.025723 0.118853 4.495118 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002555 0.004590 0.009364 0.025617 0.129563 9.685637 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002349 0.004245 0.008741 0.024352 0.129319 15.423542 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002194 0.003997 0.008334 0.023801 0.135338 37.822814 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002095 0.003863 0.008209 0.024357 0.154591 570.719234 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001990 0.003704 0.007990 0.024440 0.170133 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001859 0.003472 0.007532 0.023319 0.168555 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001756 0.003297 0.007215 0.022747 0.174233 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001697 0.003221 0.007168 0.023427 0.202381 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001672 0.003220 0.007343 0.025302 0.264394 NaN NaN